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European Civil Protection and Humanitarian Aid Operations

Assessment and Simulation of Present and Future Multi-hazard Risk in the Marrakesh-Safi Region (ARIMA)

Area of activity / Keywords:

Multi-hazard risk assessment, future risk scenarios, integration of risk assessment into risk management planning, approach to interdiscinplinary risk awareness, improvements in methodologies on multi

Summary of the action:

ARiMA will develop a spatial multi-hazard risk information platform (MRIP) for the benefit of the Marrakech-Safi Regional stakeholders based on innovative risk assessment and simulation methods, currently lacking. The platform will provide spatial information on current and future multi-hazard risks for the vulnerable social-ecological system within the whole region. This information will enable the regional beneficiaries (Hydraulic Agency, Urban Agency, Civil Protection Agency, Agriculture Agency) to integrate risk information and assessments into their risk management strategies and increase their capacity to define preventive measures against the most relevant hazards affecting the region (i.e. floods, droughts, erosion associated with flash floods).

ARiMA will first develop and implement innovative scientific methods to assess current hot spots of multi-hazards (flood, drought, erosion) and simulate future risk scenarios in the Marrakech-Safi Region. Secondly, results will be integrated into a spatial multi-hazard risk information system, co-designed and tested for the practical use of the beneficiaries. Thirdly, it will take stock of existing DRR strategies and propose complementary solutions. Finally, existing disaster risk management capabilities will be assessed and strengthened where needed.

ARiMA will provide regional experts the necessary skills to conduct risk assessments in the future and to integrate risk information more systematically, in their day-to-day planning. It will help them be better prepared for future hazards by improving planning and prioritization of preventive measures in order to reduce loss and damage for people, property, for important economic sectors (focus on agriculture) and critical infrastructure in the Marrakech-Safi Region.

ARiMA will be implemented by five partners: IABG Germany/ lead, University-Faculty Semlalia Marrakech (CADI), UN University (UNU-EHS), RESING (Morocco), CIMA Research Foundation (Italy).



Project coordinators


Centro Internazionale in Monitoraggio Ambientale - Fondazione CIMA - (IT)



Presentation at the kick off meeting